Why a planned cesarean waits until 39 weeks
Delivering one or two weeks earlier measurably harms newborns.
Among 24,077 scheduled repeat cesareans, newborns delivered at 37 weeks had roughly twice the odds of a serious problem compared with those delivered at 39 weeks, and those delivered at 38 weeks had about 1.5 times the odds. Individual outcomes such as breathing problems, ventilation, infection, low blood sugar, intensive care admission and a hospital stay of five days or more were all more common.
That study reports the comparison as odds rather than as absolute percentages week by week. For a sense of absolute scale, a separate series of 33,289 term births found newborn breathing problems in 35.5 per 1,000 births after a cesarean before labor, compared with 5.3 per 1,000 after vaginal birth.
US guidance is that a delivery without a medical reason should not be scheduled before 39 weeks.